Watched this guy campaign for nearly 20 years now. Has the right issue to run on with the economy and "looks" Presidential, but he's an even bigger douche than Kerry, and inferior to him as a politician, debater and campaigner.
It will come down to like 40k votes in both OH and PA that make it seem closer than it was, just as with Kerry and Bush, but the end result will be 4-5% in the popular vote and maybe 100-150 electoral vote differences.