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ESPN: Teams poised for a run/fall... hard times loom for Golden State
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Posted by AllWeatherFan on 2013-01-02 08:50:55

Golden State Warriors | Current record: 21-10
Expected January record: 6.8 wins, 8.2 losses
Probability of January improvement: 9.7 percent

The Warriors have been the feel-good story of the season so far -- a team that looked destined for the Western Conference's cellar before the season has stunned the experts by winning more than two-thirds of its games. Credit goes out to Stephen Curry, David Lee and coach Mark Jackson, but Golden State has also benefited from good fortune in close games (the Pythagorean formula says the Warriors deserve three fewer wins based on their point differential), as well as the NBA's eighth-lightest schedule in the early going.

That luck will probably change in the new year, compounded by a harsh slate that projects to easily be the league's toughest over the month of January. Unfortunately for Bay Area fans, that means there's very little chance the Warriors keep up their torrid early-season pace through the first month of the 2013 calendar year.

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